Investment Option | Subsidy Level | Discount Rate | Mean | Standard Deviation | CV | Min | Max | Range | Prob (X ≤ 0) |
Conventional | - | 8% | 15,267 | 6551 | 43 | −5335 | 34,710 | 40,045 | 0.01 |
- | 10% | 7852 | 5343 | 68 | −8643 | 23,856 | 32,499 | 0.06 | |
- | 12% | 2528 | 4479 | 177 | −10,860 | 16,338 | 27,198 | 0.29 | |
Organic | 0 | 8% | 12,765 | 6538 | 51 | −4659 | 29,070 | 33,728 | 0.04 |
0 | 10% | 6180 | 5333 | 86 | −7687 | 18,904 | 26,591 | 0.12 | |
0 | 12% | 1448 | 4468 | 309 | −9786 | 12,636 | 22,422 | 0.39 | |
900 | 8% | 23,714 | 6538 | 28 | 6290 | 40,019 | 33,728 | 0.00 | |
900 | 10% | 15,701 | 5333 | 34 | 1833 | 28,425 | 26,591 | 0.00 | |
900 | 12% | 9923 | 4468 | 45 | −1310 | 21,111 | 22,422 | 0.01 | |
450 | 8% | 18,239 | 6538 | 36 | 816 | 34,544 | 33,728 | 0.00 | |
450 | 10% | 10,941 | 5333 | 49 | −2927 | 23,664 | 26,591 | 0.03 | |
450 | 12% | 5685 | 4468 | 79 | −5548 | 16,873 | 22,422 | 0.10 | |
300 | 8% | 16,414 | 6538 | 40 | −1009 | 32,719 | 33,728 | 0.00 | |
300 | 10% | 9354 | 5333 | 57 | −4514 | 22,077 | 26,591 | 0.04 | |
300 | 12% | 4273 | 4468 | 105 | −6961 | 15,461 | 22,422 | 0.18 | |
150 | 8% | 14,589 | 6538 | 45 | −2834 | 30,894 | 33,728 | 0.02 | |
150 | 10% | 7767 | 5333 | 69 | −6101 | 20,491 | 26,591 | 0.08 | |
150 | 12% | 2860 | 4468 | 156 | −8373 | 14,048 | 22,422 | 0.26 |